First off, a shameless plug for my show on Twitch TV called, Fantasy Football Jibber Jabber. See how we do with our gambling picks as well as fantasy football recommendations. We’ll be on next week at 6pm under the Be Terrific banner on Twitch as well as Facebook Live.
Unreal. We’ve just turned out clocks back and as I typed out, “week 9”, I realize how time does indeed fly. Remember how getting to your birthday, summer vacation, or losing your virginity seemed to take a lifetime? Fuck, we’re now halfway through the NFL season. It was only 2 months ago that my buddy and I were hopping around like idiots in Vegas where your boy went 7-1 opening weekend. Last week, I righted the ship and went 5-3, bringing me to a robust 35-24 and more importantly to 59%. Jesus Christ, that’s spectacular! I hit the Colts, Skins, Pitt Over, Seattle, and the Packers as the lock of the week. Lost the Bengals as they blew a 17 point lead late after Fitzpatrick and his beekeeper beard returned to action and backdoored that game. I called the Saints winning outright, wish I took them instead of the over. The Saints over was ahead of pace at halftime but Minnesota couldn’t do dick in the second half, leaving me 4 points shy of the over. And the Niners ALSO blew a 2 score lead in the 4th quarter against Arizona. As we know, the best laid plans…
Week NAWWWNE started off with a clunker for me as every sharp better jumped on Oakland +3 when Beathard was announced as questionable on Wednesday. As the line went down to Oakland -1 when Beathard was ruled out, you can figure out who started to plan on spending that sweet, sweet, freeeee money. And then a pesky little thing called, “the game” occurred. That’s where Nick Mullen sliced and diced through that putrid Oakland defense like he was Peyton Manning in 2006. Hell, Mullen didn’t throw his FIRST incompletion until late in the first quarter. SF ends up blowing out the Raiders and you’ll be lucky to find someone this year to put cash on them this year, even if it’s against a bunch of bearded hipsters wearing skinny jeans with Lena Dunham as the quarterback. The way the Raiders defense has been playing, she could do a 5 step drop back, tweet how white men are the worst, and find a “male feminist” open on a crossing route.
So 0-1 to start this week, let’s pick some winners!
Lock of the week:
If you missed this week’s, “Fantasy Football Jibber Jabber,” you can catch it right here. Catch me next week on Twitch at 5pm under Be Terrific. Fast forward to about 4:30 in for the start of the show.
4-4 last week, meh. Lost TB and the over. Lost Bal and SF over. Fucking Beathard turned that ball over more times than someone on the fix. Couldn’t score more than 10 points in garbage time? I hit Bal under as that Tucker miss solidified the under for me. Hit my lock of the week with SD under and thankfully, Vrabel went for 2 after that late TD. Either way, I was winning that one. Late hits with the Chiefs and my NY Giants brought me to .500. And of course that, “too little, too late comeback attempt but successful backdoor cover” for the Giants. And don’t bother with a butt sex joke, we’ve done them all. Especially all while sitting in a steam room at NY Sports Club. 30-21 on the season which puts me at 59% and better than most Vegas handicappers and MUCH better than the weathermen and weatherladies. Quick would you rather: Land a weatherlady or land an anchorwoman on any of the Hispanic channels? I vote Hispanic anchorwoman. No reason, I think it’s just a slightly higher accomplishment, as long as you don’t land the one that is also cartel member’s girlfriend.
The Lock of the week: I know the Rams just made the Niners look flat out silly last week. Aaron Rodgers is 4-0 when the Packers are getting more than 6. Off the bye, 9-2-1. Allison and Cobb will be back. Rams 6-11-2 last 19 at home ATS. Gonna be a ton of GB fans. So barely a home field advantage for GB.
Take GB +9.5
Facts are facts: Drew Brees is a strong MVP candidate this year. Some people are trying to downplay the revenge factor the where the Lattimore whiffed on a tackle, Stefon Diggs runs for the TD and an insurance company endorsement deal. Saints 4-1 ATS and 5-0 SU out of their last 5. The line went from Saints +1 to now Saints -1.5. Time to wait this out till Sunday as the public has obviously pounded the Saints. Minn 3-5-2 last 10 and 1-3-1 at home. Also, the Saints have went over 52: 6/9, 7/8 vs Minnesota, 8/10 in Minnesota, Minn over 4/6.
I’m taking the Saints -1.5 (Waiting till tomorrow to see what the line ends up) and over 53
The Steelers have been over 6/8, 4/5 at home, Cle under 4/6 and under 4/6 on the road. 8/12 vs Pitt. Plus, Pitt D has let at least 21 points to QBs. 21 is also the number of sandwiches most women order at Primanthi’s, 21 also the number of times they’ve hooked up with their uncles, and 21 is also the number of IQ points those water heads have.
Plunk down some buck on Pitt over 49 (I bought it down to 48.5)
After the Chiefs game sunday night, Cincinatti looked like Houston after her 500 man gangbang. Now they’re home and not on prime time which is key for Andy Dalton. He’s like A-Rod, showing up when there’s no pressure but shrinking when the spotlight is at its brightest. No Gerald McCoy and Kwon Alexander on defense for TB and boy, does Jameis “One Star Uber Passenger rating” love turning that ball over. That fruitcake screwed me out of that over last week with all of those turnovers last week vs Cleveland. Cincy 6-3 ATS of late and 5-2 at home. Bucs 2-11 SU on the road.
Grabbing the Bengals -3.5
Seattle one of the best rushing the ball, Detroit one of the worst defending the rush. Seahawks off a bye and getting 3 points? Heiiidy HOOOOOO.
Taking the Seahawks +3 and their obnoxious fans.
Colts flying west to facing the Oakland Raiders who are in flat out, “selling anything not nailed down” mode. Apparently, Derek Carr isn’t crying, YOU’RE CRYING. They traded away Cooper who wasn’t really doing anything all that special anyway and Lynch is on IR. Now I ask you, where are the points coming from? Jared Cook? I’d rather have Jared from Subway. Raiders also 2-13 ATS against teams that have a bye the following week.
Take the Colts -3
Bears have Mack listed as questionable. But where are the Jets getting their points from? All of their WRs are out: Enuwa, Robbie Anderson, and Wayne Chrebet all out for the Jets. They signed Richard Matthews and who cares? He couldn’t stay on the Titans roster? Jets 2-5-1 on the road. 0-4-1 in Chicago. Bears 11-4-1 at home. I know the Bears haven’t laid more than a TD in well over 5 years but again, where are the Jets getting their points from?
Take the Bears -8 but going to wait till kickoff to see the number.
Speaking of teams that are else selling their body parts for science, the Giants are home and that will be the last game of the year I attend. As much as I enjoy the randy talk and spirited menu fare of my buddy, I can’t stomach the thought to pay to see this team nor freeze my ass off any more this year. Giants trade Eli Apple and his annoying mother to the Saints (no big deal) and Snacks Harrison (huge deal, #1 run stopper in the NFL) to Detroit. Washington escapes with a win against Dallas and Jason Garrett’s ability to fuck up a glass of water. Washington 4-2 ATS of late and I know the history favors the Giants but I’m going against a team almost ready to bench their QB.
Take the Skins -1
The Niners just got smoked. I don’t feel like going to a full handicap except that from one of my favorite gambling podcasts, RJ “Mushmouth” Bell’s Vegas dream preview, all of the guys love the Niners because the Cardinals stink and the last time they faced each other, the Niners lost but were +5 in turnovers. They rebound against an awful Josh Rosen with turf toe. 4 likes from those sharps are enough for me to like it too.
6-3 last week! 2 out of 3 weeks, I’ve won you money. And not one of you sent me a cut or a thank you note. Didn’t your mothers teach you better manners? I didn’t take Thursday night’s game as I debated about Minnesota (push) and the under (definite miss. I think we all know the Rams over will be the lock of the week for the season.)
Breakdown: I took Indy and the under, Jets under, Cincy over, Miami, and the Saints. The Giants under missed with exactly 1 second left on the clock and of course, that was the big bet of the week. Lost the TB under on Monday night, lost the Niners when Jimmy G snapped that ACL but will still be snapping that porn star puss. 15-8 on the year, why the fuck don’t I have a gambling show yet??!?!?!
The Oakland Raiders are 0-3, just like most of their fans’ parole hearings. Are they that bad or the victims of bad luck? They’ve blown 3 leads at halftime and now they get Baker Mayfield on the road in his first start? In the black hole? Remember when betting, you’re playing the number, which is Oak -2.5 here. Home field is 3 points so what Vegas is trying to say is Cleveland is .5 better than Oakland on a neutral site? With a QB who has ONE HALF under his belt. Not buying it. And Oakland is due for a win, especially at home. Oh yeah, rookie QBs making their first start on the road? ZERO out of 10.
Take the Raiders -2.5. I may even take the under 45 as Oak under 9/10, 5/5 at home, and 4/5 vs Cleveland.
You know what Carson Wentz didn’t do last week? Throw for a shitload of yards and TDs, just like I said he wouldn’t. And now they face a rather stingy Tennessee defense. And Tennessee’s Mariota looks like he got hit by that volcano eruption in his native Hawaii. Tennessee is also a heavy run offense. How do the Eagles fare against the run? #2, just like me in the bathroom 5 minutes ago? Titans have scored totals of 17, 20, and 9 pts this year. Eagles have scored 20, 21, and 18 this year. This game screams 17-13 so let’s be wise and take
Tennessee under 41.5, I bought the .5
Atlanta defense is like the testimony of the second Cavanaugh accuser, possibly full of holes and supposedly gang banged up. Missing both starting safeties is not a way to start against Andy Dalton, who has been slinging it all over the place. Much like a recently divorced woman at an Appelebee’s on a Friday night. 1/2 off appetizers will get her pants fully off in that bathroom! Falcons just played nearly 5 quarters against the Saints and that defense is as gassed like a fat kid doing suicides. Not shooting up a school and then killing himself, I’m talking about running back and forth for an hour straight followed up by puking. You know, the good ol days where coaches would call you a faggot for missing the cutoff man. Cincy lists AJ Green as probable so that’s huge. The only thing that scares is the line opened +5.5 and now it’s down to 3.5.
Take the Bengals while you can get the 3.5, it’s still a good number.
Sigh, I said I don’t do normally do this…I know, I sound like a woman during a one night stand. But I’m going to make a case for the NY Giants and break my own rule of betting them. Saints played nearly 5 quarters last week. And that defense stinks worse than my house after a night of my wife’s Buffalo wing dip (to die for) and beers. Saints defense AVERAGES 33 points again. And now they’re on the road but more importantly, outside of a dome. The Giants beat them the last time they came to Giants stadium and now they’re catching 3.5? Saints are 1-5 SU in NY and the under has hit 5/7 when they’ve played? Vernon and Apple are out again on defense. Then again, they were out last week against Houston and they won.
Let’s cross those fingers and toes and take the Giants +3.5
I kinda like but probably won’t bet: GB (home against a Bills team who shot their load last week), Detroit +3, Jets +7.5 (3rd road game in a row kind of scares me about the Jets but the number is right), Chargers -10.5 (Large number, may buy it down to 9.5, depends how I do with the 1pm games.)
And now it’s time for the lock of the week. Quite shocked this number is moving this way and a bit annoyed I locked in too earlier. But the Colts -1.5 (now a pick ’em or even +1) is a steal. Hopkins went through limited practice with a couple of injuries, limited as questionable, but he’ll go. And Houston’s secondary is trash. Houston 2-7-2 playing Indy, 2-5-1 in Indy. Colts could’ve won in weeks 1 and 3 EASILY. They’re 2-1 ATS and could be 2-1-1 if they didn’t turn it over late week 1.
I have the Colts at -1.5 but you can get them at a Pick or even +1, get that NOW if you can.
Some weeks you’re the hammer, some you’re the nail. Last week, I went 3-5 (technically 3-4 because I didn’t get the Pitt pick in so I saved a few bucks). I lost on Houston (Hey Deshaun Watson, when you have 14 seconds left, don’t scramble around while looking for an open receiver. Throw it away and give the kicker a shot.) I lost on Philly who let Fitzpatrick go all Fitzpatrick over them. The Giants offensive line let Dallas defense gangbang Eli Manning. However, the Giants didn’t score and neither Dallas so the under hit. The Jets under also hit and the Chargers forced Vontae Davis to quit in halftime in their easy cover. I also took the Seahawks on Monday night who took a colossal dump on themselves against the Bears as Russ Wilson threw a pick 6 when on a potential game tying drive late in the 4th quarter. So last night, 9/20, I took the Browns under 41 against the Jets. Amazing how I had to sweat that under out for so long as Tyrod and Darnold did their best impressions of kids with no arms trying to play jai alai. But then Baker Mayfield comes in, wins the game, and unlocks the Bud Light fridges for the city of Cleveland. And just for one evening, everyone in Cleveland enjoyed themselves and forgot how ugly everyone is in that town.
So 1-0 to start this week, let’s get you (and me) more freeeeeeeee money.
Carson Wentz is back this week and I think he’s going to look like Pete Wentz from Fall Out Boy. The Eagles definitely rushed him back and it’s going to show. Wentz is going to be treated with kid gloves and he’s without a ton of options: Jay Alai is probably out, no Alshon Jeffrey, no Mike Wallace. They’re going to hand it off a lot and keep him safe. The Colts come in after beating the Skins and Luck still isn’t airing it deep yet. I don’t see this being a high scoring affair and the stats back it up: 9/10 have went under for Indy and recently 5/5 have went under for Indy. Philly also has been an under machine, 5/6 at home were under. And Philly is still perfect as a garbage town with garbage fans.
Take the under 47 and the Colts + 7.
Like “men” who play Pokemon go, they don’t score. You know who else doesn’t score? The NY football Giants. Eli Manning’s offensive line is like Ray Liotta’s face. Full of holes and hard to watch. I learned my lesson, again, about betting them as I thought they would show up against Dallas. Houston finally comes home but they’re not lighting up the scoreboard. They floundered in NE and Tennessee. Giants are 5/6 with the under on the road and 8 of their last 9 under. Houston also on the under train, 6/7. I think the Giants are going to cover 6 this week but I’d rather lay my money on a sure thing; which is your wife after a few too many Long Island Ice Teas what she tells you is her,
girls’ night out”. But I’ll settle for the second best lock.
Take the Giants under 42.
Home field is usually 3 points in the NFL. So you mean to tell me that if the Packers played the Redskins on a neutral field, they’re an evenly matched team? Right now, Aaron Rodgers is listed as questionable but it’s not the usual questionable. He didn’t practice all last week, deemed questionable, but played on Sunday. Rodgers hasn’t practiced all week and is again on track to play on Sunday. The Skins are banged up and aren’t exactly lighting up the scoreboard; 9 points against the Colts and 24 against AZ. Rodgers admits the knee will be tough to heel. Speaking of healing, nothing worse than dealing with A) a blister on your foot B) burn on the roof of your mouth or C) getting into a salt water tank with an exposed hemorrhoid. Washington is recently 5/5 and 4/5 with the under at home. There’s a chance of rain but a better chance of this game going
GB Under 45.5 but hold on to see if it climbs by Sunday.
The Bengals made the Ravens look worse than the Baltimore school system. No Joe Mixon so I’ll wager they air it out more; especially with PPR sensation, Giovanni Bernard now the lead back. 10 days to plan out how to gash the Carolina defense. And Carolina is 7/10 over at home. Carolina just lost in a shootout to Atl and Cincy has put up 34 in each game this year. Let’s hope there’s a “hurricane” of points in Carolina on Sunday.
Take the Bengals over 44
The Saints have been more disappointing this year than the last season of Entourage/Entourage film/Ballers. Smell a theme? Yeah Marky Mark, I’m talking to you, Mr 22 Mile. Jesus, it must be great not to have to read a script in the last 10 years when they offer 25 million plus a film. Brees on the road? Meh. Brees on the road in a dome, I’m tumescent. A banged up Julio Jones, although he’s practiced this week, but other key players on the o-line and D are banged up for the Falcons. Saints 13-5-1 on the road and 4-2 vs ATL. But to me, this is a, “if not now, when?” game for the Saints. They need a convincing road win and this is the time.
Saints +2.5 (I Bought the .5 point to +3)
SF is on the road in KC this week. Do I think Jimmy G can backdoor a cover and then backdoor his porn star gf? Easily. The KC defense is sloppier than a Kansas family of 5 taking down a Golden Corral buffet after sunday church. SF is 7-3 ATS on the road and KC let Pitt right back into the game after going up 3 scores early. No other pithy jokes or observations here.
Take the Niners +6.5 (I bought the half point to +7)
And since I’m tired of analysis and jokes for the last pick, the Raiders fly 3000 miles to play in 90 degree heat and give another lackluster performance. And it’s your typical, west coast flies east to play a 1pm game.
Go with the Dolphins -3 (I bought the .5 point to -2.5)
I knew I jinxed myself when I said I haven’t had a losing weekend since late october. 2-5 was not the way to spend Christmas but shit, these things happen. Hope you enjoyed Star Wars as much as I did. And I recently did see 2 new films that you may enjoy: Film reviews: 3 Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri and Darkest Hour And now we go into the last week of the year which is just as confusing as week 1. Playoffs are mostly set with seedings up in the air which means some teams are half assing it or completely resting their starters. So I’m going to do more totals or games where there is some meaning.
The Raiders head to LA for a quasi meaningless game as the Chargers need help to make the playoffs. So for all you LA residents, get ready for Raiders fans (cholos) to have cockfights in that soccer stadium parking lot of yours. Let’s get ready for some cold, hard facts. Oak has hit the under in 5/5, 8/11 on the road (including last week in Philly, one of the 2 I got right), 4/6 vs LA, 13/17 in LA. Phil Rivers has been focusing more on his 29 kids than scoring points as his team his hit the under in 5/5 and 5/7 at home. I think Oak +7 is a play
But I like the LA under 42 better.
My NY Giants just have a new GM who already just started cleaning house. Got rid of the head of personnel evaluation and cut OL Bobby Ross for refusing to practice and play in Sunday’s game. In come the Redskins off a win and Kirk Cousins playing for a contract. It’s gonna be cold in Giants Stadium (sorry you Jets fans squatters, it will always be Giants stadium) and let’s see who’s out for the Giants: Evan Engram, Sterling Sheppard, Landon Collins, and Eli Apple. But I would consider it a positive for the other team if Apple was in because his mouthy mother could cover better than her pansy ass kid can. This team has ZERO offense which is exactly how many points they scored last week in Arizona. Oh yeah, JPP and his 7.5 fingers is also questionable. I’m 0-2 betting against the Giants this year as KC and Den both decided to take a steamy diarrhea dump on themselves in the ONLY 2 Giants wins all year. Skins are 4-2 ATS or late and 12-6 on the road. Giants are 2-5 ATS at home and 3-6 overall. Third time’s the charm.
Take the Skins -3
Minnesota is about to lock up a first round bye if they can take down the Bears. Shouldn’t be a problem as the Vikings are 9-1 of late, 7-1 at home, and 4-1. The ONLY thing I’m worried about is the funky number of 11.5 for the Vikings. I think the Vikings come out flying and shut down the anemic Bears offense. Bears are 2-4-1 ATS of late, 5-10 on the road, and 1-4 @ Minnesota. John Fox will be gone before the post game buffet is laid out. Get ready to say these words in the same sentence: Case Keenum and playoffs. Here are a couple of fun stats: Vikes are 6-0 for the under as home favorites of 10 points or more. Vikings are under 4/6 of late, 4/5 @ home, and 4/6 home vs Chi. The Bears are 5-1 for the under as an underdog of 10+ points. Bears are 4/5 of late with the under, 5/8 playing the Vikings, and 4/6 in Minnesota.
I really like the Vikings under 38 and the Vikings first half. I kind of like the Vikings -12 but prefer the other 2 plays.
In one of the top, “who gives a shit” games of the week, the Colts finish the year against the Texans who still look like they’re playing in that hurricane. This is going to be Chuck Pagano’s last game so the Colts may resemble an NFL team for once. The Texans have TJ Yates as quarterback this week and I’ll be honest when I say I’d rather have TJ Hooker behind center. And no DeAndre Hopkins this week either so I’ll play on the sentimentality factor and….
Lay -5 and grab the Colts.
I think the Bengals and Ravens go higher than 40 points this week. Why? The trends say under as Cincy has hit the under in Bal 7/10 and 12/18 overall. But Baltimore hasn’t put up less than 20 points since 10/22. And Cincy has put up at least 20 in 5/7. No Vontez Burfect for Cincy either. Bal needs the game and will want to stay motivated.
Take Bal over 40
In another, “who gives a shit game”, the Cardinals fly (pun intended) to Seattle who actually can make the playoffs with some help. Cardinals are 4-0-1 ATS of late but they suck on the road, 1-6. They also have trouble with Seattle, 2-4-1 ATS. And why doth thou give a dookie about this game? Because Bruce Arians is supposedly retiring due to health reasons. And you’re getting 9 points with a team who’s actually trying for no apparent reason. Yes, Seattle is healthier. But they haven’t exactly been lighting it up of late, 3-5-1 and 1-4 at home ATS. I’m tired so no more jokes or analysis.
Take the Redbirds and the 9 free points.
The lock of the week is the Saints game but not for the reason you may think. The Saints need this game to ensure a home game. The Bucs have played well of late but let’s tip my hand a little bit. Bucs have went under in 5/5 at home and 6/9 overall. 5/6 vs NO and 8/9 at home vs NO. Saints are 4/5 on the road with the under. This game could easily be a Saints blowout or a squeaker and I just don’t give 2 flying purple dildos. But I will guaran-damn-tee that this game…
Goes under 48.5
Kind of debating about: Cincy +9.5, Jets +15, and Niners -3…
Hope you’re ready to enjoy Christmas and hope you paid for those gifts with FREEEE MONEY! When you’re hot, you’re hot. 4-3 last week as I took TB under this past monday night to push me over .500 for the week. Guys, I haven’t had a losing week in 7 weeks. Just saying. We’re getting to the fantasy championship/players getting rested/ time of year so the number of plays will get smaller and by next week, it’s going to be only a slight few. But I have a few in mind so here we go:
The wife beater currently known as Ezekiel Elliot is back for the Cowgirls and Dallas is holding onto a microcosm of hope to make the playoffs. In comes the rape victim from week 15 known as the Seattle Seahawks. And who had the Rams as the pick of the week last week? YOU’RE WELCOME. Jesus, I put out more than your moms. 2 weeks, 2 mom jokes. How much confidence do you have in Seattle? The correct answer is very little. Usually, the Seahawks destroy in the month of December but it looks like the Legion of Boom went bust. That defense has been beaten up more than Jim J Bullock’s asshole. Wow, what a deep cut. Pulling out an F list celebrity from the 80’s in this column, check. Dallas is 7-2 ATS vs Sea and 5-2 ATS vs Seattle. More stats? Sure. Seattle is 2-5-1 of late and 3-7-1 on the road. Not very awe inspiring. And now, a Montell Jordan reference for you. “The party’s hype and the number’s right. Drinking 40’s here on the west side.”
Take Dallas -5 cause this is how we do it.
The Buffalo Bills are smack in the middle of the playoffs, despite the Nathan Peterman experiment. Doesn’t that sound like the name of a shitty emo band? I know, ALL EMO IS SHITTY, KEVIN. The Bills go into Foxboro where the Pats really haven’t felt like the PATS this year. They got insanely lucky (including me having under 54 last week) with that win. The Bills NEED this game and the Pats haven’t blown anyone out in awhile (3 weeks). The Bills A) got beat by 20 and will most definitely B) use this as a revenge game for the Gronkowski cheap shot. 11.5 is just too many damn points so take the team who needs the game pretty bad. And oh yeah, more fun facts. The Bills hit the under 5/7 on the road, 4/6 under in NE. And the Pats of late are also not putting up points as the under has hit 4/5. Hogan is doubtful and Burkhead is out. And oh yeah, Bellichik is 47% ATS when laying double digits.
So let’s double down and take the Bills +11.5 and the under 47.
Pittsburgh lost a potential dream crusher last week. Pittsburgh sucks mastodon scrotum on the road. Pittsburgh of late is 1-5 ATS. I know, Houston isn’t much better, 2-5 ATS of late. But 9 is too many and Pittsburgh plays to the level of their opponent. And oh yeah, the best WR in football is out for the game. If you don’t know who that is or disagree with me, you shouldn’t be reading this column.
Take the Texans +9 and cross your fingers.
The Saints fucked me not once but twice. Not nice for a team named after a celestial figure. The Saints couldn’t cover and bury Bryce Petty? And then Mark Ingram, in clock killing mode, breaks off a long touchdown to burn me on the under. Shame on me for laying 16.5. The Saints lost to the Falcons 3 weeks ago (another one that I called. Time for me to get my own show, goddamnit!) and I think they have revenge on their mind. The Saints also want to get that division sewn up because they know KG has them 6/1 to win the NFC so let’s not monkey around. Saints have 9 wins by 10 points or more. Atlanta in a short week BARELY beat the Bucs on (had the under so yep, taking a bow again.) Falcons D has given up 7 TDs in the last 3 weeks and only one pick. Matt Ryan also not doing that much this year.
The Saints come marching in all over the Falcons, -5.
Tampa Bay almost tied it up with a 56 yd FG attempt on monday night. Thank god that kick fell like an Italian man, a foot or 2 short. Cause my under would have been cooked. Here’s a fun fact: Tampa is 13-4 as an over when they’re a double digit underdog. TB has a TON of injuries on defense and even if they were healthy, they weren’t that got. But TB has hit 7/8 unders on the road. Carolina has hit the over 5/5. Panthers also 5/6 over at home. I like Carolina to win and if it can get to under 10, I’ll jump on it. But for now, it’s just going to be…
Carolina over 46.5
Not a full lock but I’m highly convinced about this game. One garbage fan base flies across country to visit the biggest garbage fan base. Raiders in Philly and Philly looking for that 1 seed. Foles crushed it in his season debut and he better crush it against the Black and Silver because I have him in my fantasy championship. BUT WAIT, THERE’S MORE! I don’t see the Raiders giving 2 shits about this game after they lost the way they did. They’re flying cross country and playing Christmas night? The Eagles may roll early and then sit Foles. But I don’t see the Raiders showing up so let’s end this Christmas night with.
Philly under 47