I’m back from Vegas and my liver wishes I had just shot in and left it to die in the desert. We ate like kings and the Vegas 3 had a fucking blast. Maybe one of these days, you’ll get an invite!
If you took my picks last week, I wholeheartedly apologize. The Pats shit the bed, the overs whiffed, the Giants were god awful, and the Rams destroyed that under themselves. New week, new picks! But first, remember that Comics Watching Comics is on Amazon Video! Season 2 has just gone up and t-shirts are for sale. To get one, contact me through the site. I’m still working on a credit card link so bear with me. I’m taking PayPal for the shirts which also accepts credit cards.
I’ll be goddamned if the Patriots don’t rebound in a big way in New Orleans this weekend. The Pats have been off for 10 days to let this stew in their cheating brains. Bellichek probably cut 4 guys on defense for letting the rookie RB, Hunt (Guess who sat him in TWO fantasy leagues. At least I won 1 of them), stampede all over them. You don’t think he’s had time to scheme against the Saints and shut down Brees; like the Vikings did on Monday night? I don’t care Amendola is out, this is a statement game. Pats are 8-1 ATS on the road of their last 9. You can even take the over as when the Saints and Pats play, the over hits 7/9 times. But I see Brady going into pure “fuck you” mode and they’re covering, come hell or high water, which is also a highly overrated film.
Take the Pats -6.5
Arizona looked nothing special against Detroit last week. They also lost arguably the top RB for at least 2 months. Indy is at home and I don’t see AZ covering. AZ is 3-8 ATS out of their last 11. 2-5 ATS on the road. They look old and the number (7) is right.
Take the Colts +7
I had these fuckers as part as an over last week and they didn’t hold up their end. I do think that the Skins are due for a win and the Rams blowing out the Colts shouldn’t scare anyone. Stats? Sure. Skins 4-0 ATS after a loss. 10-5 ATS in their last 15. 9-2 ATS on the road in their last 11. Rams don’t have any kind of home field advantage. Cousins rebounds nicely as everyone’s favorite politically incorrect team (Who cares about team names, go save people in hurricane areas instead of worry about that shit?) wins outright.
Take the Skins +2.5
Miami just had their bye earlier than they wanted. Which also means they’ve had well over a week to plan against the Chargers. You watch that Chargers game? I did, from a blackjack table at the Cosmopolitan hotel while handing my chips slowly over to a dealer who was missing a tooth. The Broncos should’ve covered that game with ease if it weren’t for a couple of weird plays. And now SD is home this week against the Dolphins. Remind you, they’re now playing in a new (soccer) stadium in a new city where no one gives 2 shits about NFL football. So no home field advantage. Some may argue Miami may be rusty but I’m going to say they come bursting out at the seams. Some stats, why the hell not? Mia 8-3-1 in last 12 ATS. 4-2 ATS on the road. And 8/9 games SD has played Mia has resulted in an under.
Take Mia +3.5 and the under 45.5
I didn’t see much of the GB game as I didn’t have any money on it and apparently, I didn’t miss much. I saw some of the Atlanta game and I saw the Bears make a late run at them, covering and almost winning. But here’s what I do know: both teams score a shitload. ATL at home hits the over 5/5. GB is 7/8 hitting the over. GB and ATL have hit the over 9/13. GB has hit the over 4/6 when playing in ATL. That’s enough for me. This game has 31-28 written all over it.
Take GB over 56
And now for the lock of the week: Seattle lost in GB last week and now they’re home against a hapless Niners team. A divisional rival in their building reeks of trouble. A divisional rival after a loss is even more trouble. And yet again, more stats to prove it. Sea is 5-0 ATS vs SF. Sea is 11-1 ATS vs SF. SF is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16. 2-7-1 ATS on the road. 14 is a big number but do you see McCown doing much against an angry Seattle D? I sure as fuck don’t.
Take Sea -14